Senin, 23 November 2015

The Price of Indonesian Democracy

Pricy Democracy
The Price of Indonesian Democracy 
Abstract     

      Democracy has been exists in Indonesian system since Sukarno’s era of Guided Democracy in 1957. Even though when Suharto took the presidential chair in 1965 Indonesia was going backward of its realization of democracy, but in 1998 after the fall of the authoritarian Indonesia started to implement a more open and liberal-political aspect of democracy. This democratization did not come with a cheap price. Just before Suharto’s fall, Indonesia experienced a severe economic crisis that resulted in the economic dislocation of millions of households, a sharp rise in poverty, a 13% decline in gross domestic product (GDP) and near bankruptcy in the financial sector. The economic crisis lead to huge protest by the citizens especially universities students who come out to the DPR/MPR building bearing the entire country aspiration that sadly ended with the shooting of four Trisakti’s students. The shooting incident later followed by May 1998 Riots in several cities. The riots mainly target Ethnic-Chinese properties, causing more than thousand people died, more than 170 cases of rape were reported, and material damage valued at more than Rp 3 trillion. After this much prices Indonesia paid to gain its democracy it is not exaggerated if the generation today have responsibility to protect the democracy through participation in the political activities.


Keywords: democracy, guided democracy, economic crisis, democratization

Sabtu, 27 Juni 2015

Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA): A Love Letter from The West

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Source: Google Images
Background

The P5+1 (U.S, China, U.K, France, Russia, plus Germany) and Iran took an important first step toward reaching a long-term diplomatic resolution with the Joint Plan of Action (JPOA), which halted the progress of Iran’s nuclear program in November 2013.  The Iran’s nuclear program was first uncovered in 2002 and since then the U.S. and its allies (mainly EU) has been struggle to put pressure on the Islamic Republic even though the concerned party stressed that it was developing nuclear for peaceful purposes. The sanctions given by the EU and U.S are not enough to stop the program, but it is enough to bring Iran to the table of compromise.  (Van Kemenade, 2009)

Despite the "significant progress" of the talks, several delays have been made through the first step to this time. As after the first talk the deadline of July 2014 was set to find a "comprehensive solution", but the talks were subsequently extended by four months to give negotiators more time. On that date, however, negotiators announced that they need more time and extended the talk until November 24. Since the extension, the P5+1 and Iran have meet multiple times in variety of formats including the one in Oman involving Ashton Zarif and U.S Secretary of State John Kerry where both sides agreed that another seven months were needed.

The process to reach the dreamed goal of a long-term diplomatic resolution is not an easy matter as the parties has its own fear and distrust issues towards each other. However, in the talk held from March 26 to April 2 2015 in Lausanne, Switzerland resulted in high-level agreement on the key parameters of a Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA). The JCPOA parties will continue drafting the final text of JCPOA, to be agreed by 30 June 2015.

Once the final text of JCPOA is done, Iran is obliged to abides by its commitments if its want the U.S. and EU to lift their sanctions. Therefore, this article will attempt to explain about the key Parameters of JPCOA regarding the Iran’s nuclear program and its influence on the relation between the west and Iran.


Why the West Started to Doubt Iran Nuclear Program?

It was Alireza Jafarzadeh, U.S. representative for the exiled Iranian opposition group, National Council of Resistance of Iran (NICRI), who in 2002 blow the whistle on the much larger than known scale of Iran’s nuclear program. In a book published in 2007, he also revealed that there has been a military component from the very beginning which was separated from the Atomic Energy Organization of Iran (AEOI) and became the exclusive reserve of the Revolutionary Guards, the state within the state that was determined to keep this secret from the outside world. He also mentioned that there are two top-secret nuclear sites under construction: a partly underground uranium enrichment facility in Natanz and a heavy water facility in Arak. (Jafarzadeh, 2007)

Those NICRI reports what makes the U.S. and EU-3; United Kingdom, France and Germany, to call on Iran to allow International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) inspectors to have access to all previously declared and publicized facilities.

The West Sanctions over the Iran Nuclear Program

Since the secret nuclear program was revealed in 2002, the U.S. and EU have imposed sanctions in efforts to prevent Iran from developing military nuclear capability. The sanctions are targeted towards Iran’s key energy and financial sectors and proven to be effective in crippling the Iran’s economy.

EU’s sanctions includes the restriction on trade equipment that can be used for uranium enrichment, a ban on any transactions with Iran bank and financial institution, and ban on the import, purchase and transport of Iranian crude oil and natural gas - the EU had previously accounted for 20% of Iran's oil exports. European companies were also stopped from insuring Iranian oil shipments.

The US sanctions prohibit almost all trade with Iran, making some exceptions only for activity "intended to benefit the Iranian people", including the export of medical and agricultural equipment, humanitarian assistance and trade in "informational" materials such as films. (BBC, 2015)

The Key Parameter of Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action

The JCPOA is the fruit that comes from the recent talks about Iran nuclear program in Switzerland. The key parameter has been released but it still subject for more negotiation. These key parameters are elements to form the foundation upon which the final text of the JCPOA that will be written between now and June 30, and reflect the significant progress that has been made in discussions between the P5+1, the European Union, and Iran.

The key parameter includes agreement about Enrichment, Inspections and Transparency, Reactor and Reprocessing, Sanctions, and Phasing. From this JCPOA, Iran has agreed to reduce by approximately two-thirds its installed centrifuges and it also agreed to implement the Additional Protocol of the IAEA, providing the IAEA much greater access and information regarding Iran's nuclear program, including both declared and undeclared facilities. If in the future Iran can abide its commitments in this JCPOA, U.S. and EU will fully relief their sanctions. (CNN, 2015)

Conclusion

The fear and distrust between U.S.-EU towards Iran nuclear program is understandable as the hidden project argued to be a deadly weapon that will disrupt international security. This JCPOA that hopefully will be finished on 30 June is a love letter that will end the nuclear crisis, remove the suspicion towards Iran and restore its crippled economy.


References

BBC. (2015, March). Iran Nuclear Crisis: What are the sanctions? Retrieved June 27, 2015, from BBC: http://www.bbc.com/news/world-middle-east-15983302

CNN. (2015, April 2). Parameter of the Iran Nuclear Deal . Retrieved June 27, 2015, from CNN: http://edition.cnn.com/2015/04/02/world/iran-nuclear-deal-parameters/index.html

Jafarzadeh, A. (2007). The Iran Threat: President Ahmadinejad and the Coming Nuclear Crisis. New York: Palgrave MacMillan.

Van Kemenade, W. (2009). Iran's Relation with China and the West: Cooperation and Confrontation in Asia. The Hague: Netherland Institutes of International Relations.

 

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